← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University0.81+2.51vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.53vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University0.23+1.25vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy0.16+0.34vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.79-1.36vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.37-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
3.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.25George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
-
4.34U. S. Naval Academy0.160.1%1st Place
-
3.64Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
1.72Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 10.3% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 13.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 11.7% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 13.3% |
| Hayden Clary | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 25.3% | 27.4% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 30.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 9.6% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 54.8% | 25.7% | 14.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.