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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+2.55vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.23+2.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.53vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-2.31vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81-1.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.16-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.22George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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1.69Georgetown University2.370.6%1st Place
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3.59Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 10.0% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Hayden Clary | 6.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 28.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 12.5% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 18.4% | 11.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 55.8% | 26.5% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 10.9% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 4.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.