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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+5.37vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+3.38vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+4.19vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+2.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+4.96vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.35+3.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25+2.83vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-1.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-3.97vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-3.29vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+1.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-6.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.80-7.10vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.38vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Fordham University1.549.7%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston1.8112.4%1st Place
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7.19Tulane University1.346.5%1st Place
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6.57North Carolina State University1.578.6%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.8%1st Place
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10.96Yale University0.072.8%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University0.353.4%1st Place
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10.83Boston University0.252.3%1st Place
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7.01Old Dominion University1.267.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University1.4210.8%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University1.595.6%1st Place
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13.44Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.1%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University1.437.8%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island1.807.4%1st Place
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11.62SUNY Maritime College-0.021.6%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University-0.791.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 6.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Macken | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 34.4% |
| Jack Flores | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 9.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.