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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.43vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+3.54vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+5.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.46vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.13vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.36vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.99-0.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.23vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-1.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.30-4.98vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-2.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.73-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.21-1.58vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.56-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.21Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.78Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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14.42University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mac Mace | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Johns | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 22.1% |
| Olin Davis | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Braden Solum | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 44.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.