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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+2.49vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+1.50vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.23+1.27vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-2.33vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.16-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.27George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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1.67Georgetown University2.370.6%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 10.6% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.2% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 12.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 7.1% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 27.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 56.2% | 26.7% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.3% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 4.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.