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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+2.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+1.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37-1.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.23+0.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.16-0.56vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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1.68Georgetown University2.370.6%1st Place
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4.25George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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3.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 10.3% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 12.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.8% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 12.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 56.0% | 27.1% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Clary | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 28.5% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 35.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.0% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.