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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+0.70vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.23+2.23vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+0.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.44vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79-1.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.16-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Georgetown University2.370.6%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.46Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.64Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 56.0% | 27.0% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Clary | 6.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 22.5% | 27.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 11.3% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 11.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 11.3% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.4% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 4.9% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.