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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+0.75vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+1.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.16+1.33vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.43vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.23-0.63vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
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3.44Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.37George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.54Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 54.2% | 27.0% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 11.6% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 11.4% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 22.9% | 31.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.9% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 12.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 5.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 33.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.2% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.