Race 1A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jett Lindelof 15.9% 13.5% 12.2% 15.4% 13.7% 10.5% 8.8% 7.4% 2.6%
Sam Harris 6.9% 9.8% 10.9% 11.4% 11.6% 14.5% 12.0% 13.7% 9.2%
Aidan Boni 17.0% 14.4% 15.8% 12.5% 13.0% 10.9% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5%
Cooper Smith 21.4% 21.5% 16.5% 13.3% 10.6% 7.4% 5.8% 2.3% 1.2%
Renato Korzinek 9.8% 12.0% 11.9% 11.7% 11.5% 10.2% 13.1% 10.5% 9.3%
Ella Beauregard 11.2% 12.3% 12.6% 12.2% 14.4% 11.8% 12.4% 7.7% 5.4%
Griffin Stolp 4.6% 3.8% 5.9% 5.9% 7.3% 10.4% 12.3% 19.9% 29.9%
Mikhail Lavrenov 7.8% 6.4% 7.9% 9.2% 9.3% 13.0% 14.3% 14.9% 17.2%
Zach Earnshaw 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 8.4% 8.6% 11.3% 12.6% 18.4% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.