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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.01+4.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.62vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.78+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+1.03vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.34-0.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.88-3.05vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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4.19Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.03University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.55Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.95Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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6.61Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.1% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Sam Harris | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 16.4% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 30.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.