Race 3A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cooper Smith 21.6% 19.7% 14.1% 14.4% 12.3% 8.3% 5.0% 4.0% 0.6%
Sam Harris 7.5% 8.3% 11.7% 11.8% 13.2% 12.0% 12.9% 12.8% 9.8%
Jett Lindelof 15.3% 13.0% 15.6% 13.5% 11.3% 13.2% 9.3% 6.4% 2.4%
Mikhail Lavrenov 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 9.6% 11.1% 11.5% 11.5% 16.2% 16.8%
Aidan Boni 17.5% 19.5% 13.4% 12.4% 10.9% 9.7% 7.6% 6.5% 2.5%
Griffin Stolp 4.5% 4.7% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 10.0% 13.8% 17.9% 29.1%
Ella Beauregard 10.3% 12.0% 12.2% 12.8% 14.4% 12.2% 11.3% 9.4% 5.4%
Zach Earnshaw 6.9% 5.1% 6.1% 7.5% 9.3% 9.8% 15.0% 15.2% 25.1%
Renato Korzinek 9.8% 10.1% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 13.3% 13.6% 11.6% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.