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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+3.20vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+3.29vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+2.88vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.88-0.12vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+1.40vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.13-3.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.29University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.88McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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6.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.62Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Sam Harris | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.4% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 16.7% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Griffin Stolp | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 28.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 21.0% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.