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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.35+3.38vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.01+2.98vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.28-0.07vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.23vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13-2.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.98McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.93Boston University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.77Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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3.58Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 17.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 27.4% |
| Dylan Balunas | 23.1% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.5% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 7.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 16.0% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 6.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 22.6% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.