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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.88+2.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.28+0.91vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+2.01vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.13-1.82vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-1.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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2.91Boston University1.280.2%1st Place
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5.01McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.76Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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4.44University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boni | 18.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Dylan Balunas | 24.3% | 22.9% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 28.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.4% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 19.4% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Sam Harris | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.