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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+6.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+3.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+3.63vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+7.31vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.57+1.46vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.35+4.65vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34-0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.42-2.69vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.25+0.78vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-4.73vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.79+1.39vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.26-5.80vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-0.51vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.80-8.19vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.07-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Northeastern University1.597.0%1st Place
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5.43College of Charleston1.8113.3%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.437.3%1st Place
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11.31SUNY Maritime College-0.022.2%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University1.578.6%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University0.352.1%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University1.348.0%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.8%1st Place
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6.31Brown University1.429.3%1st Place
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10.78Boston University0.252.5%1st Place
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6.27Fordham University1.549.3%1st Place
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13.39Salve Regina University-0.790.9%1st Place
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7.2Old Dominion University1.266.7%1st Place
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13.49Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.7%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island1.807.7%1st Place
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11.11Yale University0.072.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 8.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 34.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 36.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.