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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+7.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+9.52vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+2.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+4.82vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+2.71vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-1.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-2.04vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56-0.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.99-3.71vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-4.56vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-7.00vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-6.90vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.21-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.56Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.82Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.1Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.3% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Peter Johns | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Mac Mace | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Olin Davis | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Braden Solum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.