← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.13+1.86vs Predicted
-
2McGill University-0.01+2.66vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.28-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-0.56+1.51vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.35-0.80vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.02vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.88-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
-
4.66McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
2.65Boston University1.280.3%1st Place
-
5.51Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
-
4.2University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
-
4.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.15Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 25.0% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 27.8% | 25.1% | 20.7% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 40.7% |
| Sam Harris | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 11.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 25.2% | 24.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 21.7% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.