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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.20vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+0.33vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+4.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+0.78vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08+0.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.20-3.87vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.03+1.21vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.40+0.94vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.57-2.16vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-6.36vs Predicted
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14American University-0.85-1.17vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.03-3.79vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.29-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.9George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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9.04Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.32Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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11.21Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.94William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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12.83American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.21Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 14.1% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.9% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 17.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Raam Fox | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 28.4% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 47.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.