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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+7.18vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+5.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.45+1.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+0.34vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+4.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90-1.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.57+1.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.20-3.86vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-3.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.54-6.58vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.29+1.70vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.03-1.76vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.03-2.76vs Predicted
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15American University-0.85-2.23vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.40-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.73Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.34Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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9.04Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.98George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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13.7University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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11.24Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.24Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.77American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.86William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raam Fox | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.4% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 50.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 25.4% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 23.6% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.