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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+2.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+3.84vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+1.05vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.13vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-0.53vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81+1.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.20-3.88vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.57-0.27vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-2.67vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.40+0.11vs Predicted
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13American University-0.85-0.08vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.03-2.89vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.03-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.29-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.2Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.05George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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9.07Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.33Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.11William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.92American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.11Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.11Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 15.8% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raam Fox | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 23.1% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 25.2% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 23.0% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.