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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.27vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.90+3.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.20+2.13vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+5.01vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54-0.60vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.14vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08+1.27vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-1.55vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24-1.19vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.45-5.41vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.03+0.14vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.03-0.86vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.57-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.29-0.38vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.40-3.07vs Predicted
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16American University-0.85-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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5.84George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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9.01Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.4Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.27Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.14Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.14Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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11.93William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.76American University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 17.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 15.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Raam Fox | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 13.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 22.8% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.