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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.20+3.06vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+1.28vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.96vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+2.85vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+0.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.18vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.45-3.45vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.57+0.67vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.03+1.21vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.03+0.21vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81-2.97vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-4.52vs Predicted
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14American University-0.85-1.07vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.40-3.03vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.29-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.96George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.85Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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4.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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11.21Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.21Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.03Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.48Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.93American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.97William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 17.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 15.9% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raam Fox | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 26.8% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.