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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+5.36vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.26+5.39vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+3.61vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.35+6.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+1.29vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80+0.12vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-0.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.56+0.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-3.19vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-5.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-4.31vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.07-1.79vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.39vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.43vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Fordham University1.549.9%1st Place
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7.39Old Dominion University1.265.7%1st Place
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6.61North Carolina State University1.579.7%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University0.352.7%1st Place
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6.29Brown University1.429.6%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston1.8112.3%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island1.806.8%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University1.346.9%1st Place
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9.14Boston University0.564.2%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University1.438.5%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.7%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.596.0%1st Place
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11.21Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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11.61SUNY Maritime College-0.022.5%1st Place
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13.57Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.9%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 5.6% |
| Connor Macken | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Jack Flores | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 10.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 38.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.