Race 2B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kyle Reinecke 25.0% 22.2% 17.4% 12.3% 9.6% 6.9% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Petersen 18.0% 17.5% 15.6% 14.9% 11.7% 9.1% 6.4% 3.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hugh Carty 7.1% 6.5% 9.3% 11.0% 11.2% 10.6% 11.2% 12.0% 9.2% 6.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 21.5% 17.9% 16.7% 14.1% 10.9% 9.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Kissel 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 4.8% 7.5% 6.8% 8.6% 11.7% 13.9% 14.8% 11.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Max Kleha 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 6.7% 8.8% 10.0% 11.8% 12.6% 11.7% 10.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Lilyquist 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.5% 7.9% 9.3% 13.8% 17.1% 14.1% 10.9% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 6.3% 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 9.1% 10.1% 14.3% 10.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Brown 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 7.6% 7.1% 8.2% 11.8% 13.1% 12.1% 12.8% 9.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Conde 7.4% 8.1% 8.9% 12.4% 12.4% 11.9% 12.9% 8.1% 9.0% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Opert 3.5% 4.4% 6.9% 5.7% 7.3% 9.3% 9.1% 11.7% 10.9% 11.1% 10.1% 6.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Hubbard 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 4.2% 6.0% 9.4% 11.7% 23.0% 21.9% 12.0% 2.1% 0.0%
James Lilyquist 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.5% 7.9% 9.3% 13.8% 17.1% 14.1% 10.9% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
James Cottage 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 7.0% 13.6% 26.1% 23.2% 13.9% 0.0%
Harrison Rohne 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 4.1% 7.3% 16.4% 31.6% 33.1% 0.0%
Emma Retzlaff 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 5.7% 11.9% 24.3% 49.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.