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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.39+5.14vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.38+1.78vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+2.52vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07+5.59vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.54+5.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.49+2.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.75-3.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55-4.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.47-3.02vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.61-1.59vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-3.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-4.73vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-3.41vs Predicted
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14American University-1.20-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-2.31-1.13vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-1.94-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.78Georgetown University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.59Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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10.95Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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3.15U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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3.54Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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8.41Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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9.59Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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12.34American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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13.37William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 17.6% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 23.8% | 19.3% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Kissel | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 24.3% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 21.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 28.7% | 22.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 25.9% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 16.6% | 30.5% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.