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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.38+2.84vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+5.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.75+0.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+2.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+2.01vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55-2.53vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.07+2.55vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.63-2.33vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.54+2.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.47-3.91vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.61-2.65vs Predicted
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12American University-1.20+0.43vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.49-4.24vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.07-4.45vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-1.94-1.59vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-2.31-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Georgetown University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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6.17George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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3.47Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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9.55Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.01Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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8.35Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.43American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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9.55Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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13.41William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 17.6% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 26.0% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.9% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 26.2% | 26.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Kissel | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 29.3% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 25.7% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.