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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wake Forest University0.10+3.82vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.94+1.10vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+2.39vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20+0.40vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.28-1.61vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20-2.54vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-3.04+2.61vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.22-1.43vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-2.40vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-2.63-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.1Clemson University0.940.2%1st Place
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5.39Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.23The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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5.4University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.39North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.46The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
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7.57University of South Carolina-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.16Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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10.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Perkins | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 25.0% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 12.2% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Adams | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 42.9% |
| Skylar Dragomire | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Jim Wang | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 20.5% | 32.1% | 24.6% |
| Julia Morash | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 29.5% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.