Race 2A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Johnny Perkins 9.3% 11.3% 12.4% 12.9% 12.4% 13.9% 12.7% 8.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Andrew Tollefson 14.8% 14.2% 14.9% 13.1% 13.5% 10.9% 9.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 11.6% 11.7% 12.7% 12.4% 14.8% 11.4% 12.1% 7.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Mitchell Hnatt 24.3% 21.1% 17.1% 14.0% 10.1% 6.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 14.5% 14.4% 13.4% 11.9% 11.2% 13.8% 9.1% 7.2% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.8% 9.4% 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 13.7% 14.6% 9.4% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2%
Skylar Dragomire 4.4% 3.3% 3.6% 6.0% 4.7% 8.2% 10.3% 16.3% 23.1% 15.5% 4.6%
Kathleen Hale 8.9% 9.2% 10.3% 11.6% 12.6% 11.5% 11.4% 13.3% 8.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Julia Morash 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 5.5% 9.3% 27.2% 48.7%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 6.7% 10.5% 17.7% 23.7% 14.8% 5.0%
Jim Wang 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 2.3% 1.8% 3.4% 6.2% 10.2% 33.0% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.