Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lyla Solway 11.2% 13.7% 14.0% 13.6% 14.7% 13.2% 8.8% 7.4% 3.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Mitchell Hnatt 27.4% 21.3% 17.6% 13.8% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 11.1% 11.0% 14.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.8% 11.9% 8.7% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Johnny Perkins 10.3% 10.9% 11.5% 12.0% 14.6% 12.4% 12.1% 8.8% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Andrew Tollefson 14.7% 14.4% 14.2% 14.1% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 5.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.4% 9.5% 8.8% 12.6% 11.5% 12.6% 12.6% 12.3% 7.7% 3.6% 0.4%
Kathleen Hale 8.9% 10.8% 10.0% 10.3% 13.0% 11.2% 13.1% 11.9% 7.9% 2.6% 0.3%
Skylar Dragomire 3.6% 2.7% 3.9% 5.3% 6.0% 8.9% 10.6% 16.8% 21.4% 16.6% 4.2%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.1% 4.3% 3.2% 4.0% 5.0% 7.4% 9.8% 17.4% 24.0% 15.2% 6.6%
Julia Morash 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 5.5% 11.0% 26.6% 47.3%
Jim Wang 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 4.0% 4.2% 11.0% 32.0% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.