Race 4A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mitchell Hnatt 26.5% 22.0% 17.4% 13.4% 10.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.6% 9.1% 11.4% 12.2% 11.4% 12.4% 11.7% 13.5% 7.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Andrew Tollefson 13.7% 12.2% 16.6% 14.0% 12.8% 11.1% 9.8% 6.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
John Cole McGee 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 12.4% 13.3% 14.2% 13.1% 9.3% 3.2% 0.3%
Kenneth Buck 14.2% 12.8% 13.4% 13.6% 12.4% 11.0% 9.8% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Emma Bellotte 8.3% 11.4% 9.1% 11.1% 12.0% 12.5% 13.6% 11.6% 6.9% 3.3% 0.2%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 8.1% 10.7% 15.3% 23.2% 16.0% 4.3%
Skylar Dragomire 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 5.7% 6.8% 8.1% 12.0% 13.9% 21.7% 16.5% 4.8%
Lyla Solway 13.1% 15.4% 13.4% 13.4% 12.3% 11.9% 9.4% 6.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Julia Morash 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.6% 5.7% 10.1% 25.9% 48.6%
Jim Wang 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 2.4% 2.6% 3.9% 5.4% 10.9% 30.6% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.