Race 5A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hoogenboom 6.8% 9.2% 8.5% 12.0% 10.7% 14.4% 16.0% 12.3% 7.1% 2.8% 0.2%
Andrew Tollefson 14.2% 14.6% 15.5% 12.4% 12.6% 12.0% 9.4% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 11.7% 11.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.8% 12.1% 11.3% 8.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Mitchell Hnatt 25.2% 20.2% 17.2% 14.6% 10.4% 6.1% 3.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 14.5% 14.6% 13.1% 11.8% 11.6% 12.8% 10.8% 5.6% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Johnny Perkins 10.5% 12.9% 11.5% 12.9% 13.1% 12.5% 10.4% 7.9% 6.4% 1.5% 0.4%
John Cole McGee 9.7% 8.0% 10.0% 10.4% 12.7% 11.1% 14.4% 12.8% 8.1% 2.3% 0.5%
Julia Morash 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 6.0% 9.4% 31.8% 43.5%
Jim Wang 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 11.3% 28.8% 45.2%
Skylar Dragomire 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 6.4% 7.9% 9.2% 17.0% 24.4% 14.6% 5.0%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 2.3% 3.8% 5.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.0% 9.7% 16.8% 22.9% 15.2% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.