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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+5.35vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.73+7.18vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+6.01vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+3.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+4.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.56+1.15vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.19vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.36-4.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.30-4.89vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.88vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-4.24vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-9.42vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.21-1.56vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.81Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.79Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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14.44University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olin Davis | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Peter Johns | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sam Williams | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Mac Mace | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Braden Solum | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 45.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.