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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+6.59vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.50vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+2.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+2.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80+1.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+1.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56+2.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.42-1.66vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.57-2.30vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.35+0.69vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-4.57vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-4.95vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.44vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79-0.59vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.07-3.72vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Northeastern University1.597.2%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.8%1st Place
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5.53College of Charleston1.8112.7%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University1.436.3%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island1.808.5%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University1.266.8%1st Place
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9.21Boston University0.564.0%1st Place
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6.34Brown University1.4210.0%1st Place
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6.7North Carolina State University1.577.2%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University0.352.5%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University1.549.3%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University1.347.8%1st Place
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11.56SUNY Maritime College-0.022.1%1st Place
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13.41Salve Regina University-0.790.7%1st Place
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11.28Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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13.55Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Andy Yu | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Connor Macken | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 35.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 8.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 21.5% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.