Race 1B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Brelage 39.1% 27.4% 17.9% 9.4% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Gumny 4.8% 4.9% 7.2% 10.2% 13.6% 15.6% 15.7% 14.7% 8.6% 4.1% 0.6%
Dylan Flack 12.0% 16.2% 16.7% 17.3% 15.0% 12.6% 6.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Adams 20.7% 22.3% 20.8% 16.8% 9.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradlee Anderson 8.8% 9.9% 13.1% 13.8% 16.0% 14.5% 13.3% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Henry Parker 6.2% 10.6% 11.6% 14.1% 17.3% 14.7% 11.6% 6.9% 5.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Kay Lyon 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 6.8% 9.4% 12.6% 18.1% 16.3% 13.1% 8.0% 3.1%
Tyler Williams 1.2% 0.8% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 6.6% 9.1% 13.5% 15.4% 24.7% 21.2%
Will Bilowz 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 10.0% 14.0% 19.9% 41.8%
Holden Haenel 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.5% 7.0% 10.4% 15.7% 21.3% 18.9% 11.7%
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski 1.1% 0.6% 2.2% 3.2% 4.7% 5.2% 9.2% 12.5% 18.1% 22.2% 21.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.