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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-1.20+3.66vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.380.00vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.10-0.32vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.68-0.32vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.60-1.50vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.65-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68+0.05vs Predicted
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9Davidson College-2.68-0.87vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-3.08-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2North Carolina State University0.980.4%1st Place
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5.66University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.0Clemson University0.380.2%1st Place
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3.68Wake Forest University-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.68The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.5The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.47Duke University-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.05University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.13Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.63Georgia Institute of Technology-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 40.3% | 26.8% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Luke Adams | 20.3% | 24.5% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Flack | 11.6% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kay Lyon | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 27.8% | 23.8% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 26.4% | 27.0% |
| Will Bilowz | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 24.0% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.