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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-1.20+3.63vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.38-0.01vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.10-0.32vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.60-0.45vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.68-1.37vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.68+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68+0.06vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-3.08-0.37vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.65-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21North Carolina State University0.980.4%1st Place
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5.63University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.99Clemson University0.380.2%1st Place
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3.68Wake Forest University-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.55The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.63The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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8.18Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.06University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.63Georgia Institute of Technology-3.080.0%1st Place
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6.45Duke University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 39.9% | 26.5% | 17.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Luke Adams | 20.4% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Flack | 11.7% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Parker | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 29.2% | 25.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 27.0% | 25.0% |
| Will Bilowz | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 23.2% | 42.8% |
| Kay Lyon | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.