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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.35vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.14+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.72-0.48vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.33vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-2.33vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.17-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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3.37Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Miami0.720.2%1st Place
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5.33Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.67Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.82Rollins College-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 37.2% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 15.2% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Blake March | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 25.7% |
| Nathan Long | 16.1% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 35.4% |
| Dawson Kohl | 14.0% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Jack Adderley | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.