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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.26+6.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.02+9.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+3.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80+1.90vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+5.12vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57-0.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59-0.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.56+0.35vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54-3.61vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-5.54vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.35-1.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-7.51vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.34-6.82vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.42vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Old Dominion University1.266.6%1st Place
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11.55SUNY Maritime College-0.022.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University1.438.3%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.429.4%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island1.807.1%1st Place
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11.12Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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6.58North Carolina State University1.578.5%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University1.596.2%1st Place
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9.35Boston University0.563.9%1st Place
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6.39Fordham University1.5410.5%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston1.8112.0%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University0.352.9%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.7%1st Place
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7.18Tulane University1.347.1%1st Place
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13.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.9%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University-0.790.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 10.6% |
| Jack Flores | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Andy Yu | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 36.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 22.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.