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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+8.42vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+7.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+4.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+3.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+4.20vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36-0.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.73+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.99-1.85vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-1.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.64vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-6.38vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.80-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.21-0.72vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.39-5.35vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
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10.65Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Sam Williams | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olin Davis | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Braden Solum | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 45.3% |
| Peter Johns | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.