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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.04vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+4.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+2.82vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+3.58vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+1.64vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-1.97vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.26+1.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-0.07vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.35vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-2.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.25-3.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.39-5.18vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.6College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.09Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.5Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Peter Miller | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
| David Hernandez | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 13.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| William Howard | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% |
| Alex Cook | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.