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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+5.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+3.54vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+4.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42+2.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.61vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+1.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56+1.96vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.57-1.47vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+4.60vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54-3.49vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.43-5.22vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-5.78vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93-0.55vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.07-3.87vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.35-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99University of Rhode Island1.808.3%1st Place
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5.54College of Charleston1.8111.6%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University1.595.7%1st Place
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6.25Brown University1.4210.2%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.5%1st Place
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7.24Old Dominion University1.268.1%1st Place
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8.96Boston University0.564.5%1st Place
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6.53North Carolina State University1.579.4%1st Place
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13.6Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.9%1st Place
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6.51Fordham University1.548.6%1st Place
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11.58SUNY Maritime College-0.021.7%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University1.437.0%1st Place
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7.22Tulane University1.346.7%1st Place
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13.45Salve Regina University-0.931.3%1st Place
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11.13Yale University0.072.2%1st Place
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10.68Roger Williams University0.352.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Connor Macken | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 36.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Jack Flores | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 35.7% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 7.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.