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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.41vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+4.80vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.15+2.56vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64+0.81vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.12-0.98vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66-3.82vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.31-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
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6.8Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.81Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.02Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.9Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.32North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 36.2% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 17.9% | 54.7% |
| Grace Jones | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 18.3% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 6.4% |
| Peter Foley | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.8% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.5% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.