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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.43vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.12+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+0.08vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24+0.54vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+0.75vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31-1.51vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.17-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.03Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.86Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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6.75Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.83Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 34.5% | 26.9% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter Foley | 11.9% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.3% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 8.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 25.0% | 15.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 51.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 17.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.