Race 2B

hatch-brown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Miller 3.7% 5.0% 6.5% 6.6% 4.8% 5.7% 4.9% 6.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.9%
Massimo Soriano 5.4% 6.9% 8.1% 5.2% 6.4% 6.6% 5.2% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 5.5% 5.6%
William Howard 4.8% 3.5% 3.0% 4.7% 3.8% 3.8% 5.2% 6.0% 6.2% 5.9% 4.9% 6.3% 8.5% 9.3% 11.7% 12.4%
Zeke Horowitz 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 6.6% 6.3% 7.1% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 5.7% 5.4% 6.8% 3.1% 3.2%
Andrew Mason 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 6.4% 4.4% 4.4% 5.8% 6.4% 4.6% 8.5% 7.2% 9.5% 9.9% 13.4%
Matt Johnson 3.7% 3.4% 5.3% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 5.3% 5.4% 6.0% 4.9% 6.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.9% 10.6% 12.1%
Fletcher Sims 8.4% 8.9% 7.5% 6.9% 6.6% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 5.2% 6.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.2% 4.0% 3.8% 1.9%
David Hernandez 5.9% 7.2% 6.8% 6.3% 6.3% 5.1% 6.8% 5.2% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 7.3% 4.9% 6.2% 5.5%
Sean Bouchard 10.9% 12.6% 9.7% 9.2% 8.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.4% 6.3% 5.4% 5.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.8% 0.9%
Cam Cullman 7.8% 6.7% 5.7% 7.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 7.0% 8.5% 5.2% 6.1% 3.9% 4.3% 2.9%
Alex Cook 7.5% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 5.5% 6.4% 8.2% 6.3% 5.5% 8.0% 5.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8%
Mackenzie Spencer 5.5% 3.0% 4.4% 4.6% 5.9% 5.6% 6.3% 5.2% 5.8% 4.6% 6.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 12.2%
Andrew Sommer 6.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 8.2% 5.7% 7.5% 6.3% 6.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.4% 3.0%
Matthew Wefer 9.2% 7.5% 7.9% 8.8% 9.1% 7.6% 8.6% 5.8% 6.9% 5.7% 6.1% 4.0% 5.6% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7%
Emily Lambert 6.0% 5.1% 4.8% 6.0% 7.0% 5.5% 7.2% 5.2% 6.4% 7.3% 5.9% 7.4% 6.6% 8.5% 6.9% 4.2%
Emily Dellenbaugh 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 3.8% 5.2% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.4% 8.0% 6.9% 6.8% 8.9% 7.4% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.