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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+5.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+3.61vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+2.86vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+1.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56+2.13vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-0.86vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-1.74vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.45vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.35-0.35vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.54-5.41vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.07-1.94vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-7.18vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.33vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.93-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63North Carolina State University1.5710.0%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston1.8110.8%1st Place
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7.72Northeastern University1.596.6%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island1.807.8%1st Place
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6.32Brown University1.429.5%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.9%1st Place
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9.13Boston University0.564.5%1st Place
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7.14Tulane University1.347.8%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University1.266.5%1st Place
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11.45SUNY Maritime College-0.022.1%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University0.352.2%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University1.548.8%1st Place
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11.06Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.437.6%1st Place
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13.67Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.0%1st Place
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13.59Salve Regina University-0.930.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Jack Flores | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 22.2% | 37.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.