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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.74+12.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+3.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+3.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+1.45vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-1.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-2.25vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.83-0.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-2.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-0.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-3.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-2.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.28-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.37vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.62Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.75Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.61Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.07Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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15.02University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 38.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.