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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+8.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+5.83vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51+6.61vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+2.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.48+0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+2.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+5.43vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-0.50vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-3.24vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.28+3.98vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.56-5.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.15vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-2.77vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.83-5.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-7.78vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.73-7.02vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.83Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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13.43Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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14.98University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.23Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.36Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 17.8% | 39.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.