← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.56+5.71vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+6.84vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.73+7.13vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.08vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.83+4.31vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.06+2.51vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.21vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.48-1.25vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.82-3.47vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.29-2.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.84-1.49vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.55-5.12vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.74+0.41vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.51-3.55vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.09vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.76-2.37vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire0.28-2.00vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.30-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.84Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
10.13Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
9.31Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.51Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
6.75Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.53Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.82Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.51University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
6.88Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
13.41Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
10.45Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
13.63University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.34Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 19.9% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 38.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.