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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.48+3.99vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51+6.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+4.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.00vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03+0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-0.55vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-3.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76+0.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.73-4.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-1.45vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-8.42vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.83-7.48vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.55Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.58Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.52Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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14.81University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 18.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.