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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+8.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+6.68vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+5.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+2.43vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+6.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.48-1.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.05vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-4.28vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.83-1.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-1.81vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-6.53vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-0.74vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-4.35vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.30-5.27vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.74Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.53Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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13.26Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.85University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.