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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+6.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+6.65vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+4.28vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+2.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73+2.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+2.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51+1.70vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-4.22vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.69vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.28+1.79vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-6.70vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-3.54vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.56-9.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.32vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.74-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.65Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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5.78Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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14.79University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.46Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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13.68University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.45Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 38.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.