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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+7.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+7.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+5.74vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+2.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+5.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.74+6.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83+1.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.23vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-3.23vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.48-4.14vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.56-5.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76+0.40vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-3.59vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.73-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.28-1.00vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-7.87vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.52Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.32Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.0University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 19.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 38.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.