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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+5.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+4.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+4.81vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+4.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+3.34vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+3.73vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+3.70vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.73-1.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.83-2.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.86vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-2.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.56-8.58vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.95vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.74-3.30vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.72Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.24Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.7Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.79University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 19.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 20.1% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.