Race 3B

hatch-brown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Matt Johnson 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.0% 5.3% 6.8% 5.3% 6.5% 8.4% 7.4% 10.1% 10.4%
David Hernandez 5.5% 7.6% 6.1% 6.4% 6.3% 6.0% 6.2% 4.8% 6.5% 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 6.1% 6.4% 5.6% 5.3%
Zeke Horowitz 8.2% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.1% 6.7% 8.3% 6.5% 5.3% 7.6% 7.7% 6.1% 4.5% 4.3% 4.4% 2.1%
Alex Cook 6.0% 7.9% 7.9% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.2% 6.5% 7.5% 5.5% 7.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 4.7% 3.5%
Andrew Mason 3.7% 3.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 4.5% 6.0% 5.8% 6.3% 5.1% 5.7% 8.0% 7.1% 8.3% 10.3% 13.7%
Massimo Soriano 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 7.3% 7.8% 4.8% 7.2% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 5.4% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 7.5% 4.5%
Andrew Sommer 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 5.7% 6.0% 5.6% 7.0% 4.5% 2.5%
Sean Bouchard 11.9% 12.4% 9.5% 9.2% 7.9% 7.3% 7.7% 8.6% 5.6% 4.9% 4.6% 3.7% 2.4% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9%
Cam Cullman 7.1% 7.7% 6.7% 7.9% 6.8% 8.6% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 6.1% 7.1% 5.2% 5.9% 3.3% 4.3% 4.1%
Peter Miller 5.1% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5% 6.0% 4.4% 5.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 8.2% 6.4% 8.9% 8.6% 7.4% 9.2%
Fletcher Sims 9.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 6.2% 7.3% 5.3% 9.0% 7.4% 6.3% 4.3% 6.9% 4.4% 5.1% 2.2% 2.4%
Emily Dellenbaugh 5.2% 4.1% 4.7% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.2% 5.7% 5.8% 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% 8.1% 7.4% 9.5% 10.2%
William Howard 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 4.5% 5.9% 5.9% 4.9% 6.0% 6.8% 8.9% 8.3% 9.9% 14.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 4.7% 4.2% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 6.7% 5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 7.1% 7.1% 8.7% 8.6% 10.1%
Matthew Wefer 8.7% 7.5% 8.1% 7.2% 8.7% 8.4% 5.8% 7.0% 5.9% 7.3% 6.6% 6.1% 3.9% 4.1% 3.4% 1.3%
Emily Lambert 5.1% 5.4% 6.6% 6.0% 4.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 7.6% 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 6.1% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.