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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+7.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+5.73vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+6.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+2.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+6.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+6.42vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+2.60vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74+4.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.73+0.12vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.93vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-3.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-4.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.78vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.48-9.02vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.82-11.31vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.64Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.41Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.6Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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13.58Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.98Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.69Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.83University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 20.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 20.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.