← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.84+8.56vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+6.80vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.06+5.73vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.48+2.69vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.55+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.56+0.56vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.28vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.87vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.74+4.59vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.82-4.27vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.29-3.33vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.83-2.23vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.95vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.76-0.84vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.51-4.37vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.73-6.12vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.30-5.33vs Predicted
-
18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.56University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
8.8Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.73Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
-
6.69Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
6.5Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.56Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
13.59Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
5.73Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.67Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.77Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
13.16University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.63Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
9.88Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.67Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.84University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.